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Research | Dec 12, 2025

Banks’ comeback, legacy constraints, and a reset market are redefining opportunities for private lenders

by Andrea Zander

In today’s fast-evolving real estate debt market, the reemergence of banks, shifting capital structures, and the lingering effects of legacy portfolios have reshaped both competition and opportunity for private lenders. In an interview with IREI, Chris Thomas, managing director at Blue Light Capital, West Coast originations, offers an inside perspective on how these dynamics are influencing institutional real estate investors, outlining why banks are returning, how private lenders are positioning themselves, and what institutional partners value most in the current environment. He also explores emerging trends in transitional and hospitality lending, the growing premium on execution certainty, and why clean-balance-sheet lenders are increasingly well positioned as the market recalibrates.

Research | Dec 9, 2025

TD Bank’s Andrew Warren discusses affordable housing challenges and opportunities

by Andrea Zander

The affordable housing sector is navigating a challenging environment, with rising costs, higher interest rates and growing pressure on developers and service providers. At the same time, demand for affordable housing continues to increase. TD Bank released a survey of 238 affordable housing professionals, uncovering cautious optimism for 2026 despite ongoing policy and cost concerns. The survey found that 62 percent of respondents are optimistic that affordable housing developments will rise nationally next year, with the strongest demand expected in multifamily housing (64 percent), housing for seniors (58 percent), and workforce housing for essential and middle-income workers (50 percent). High construction costs (55 percent), federal policy changes (50 percent) and tariff-driven price increases (39 percent) were cited as the top barriers to development, while 60 percent said changes to Section 8 will affect plans — 84 percent of them anticipating a negative effect. Still, 52 percent of respondents are confident that access to affordable housing will expand nationwide, and one-third believe the challenging market will not affect their development pipeline. In an interview with IREI, Andrew Warren, senior vice president and leader of the Community Development Lending vertical at TD Bank, shared his perspectives on market sentiment, evolving challenges and the sector’s outloo

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