Institutional Real Estate Americas

November 1, 2026: Vol. 38, Number 10

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From the Current Issue

Americas

Won’t get fooled again

We are all overwhelmed. Anyone who claims otherwise isn’t paying attention. Every day brings a new wave of invitations: subscribe to this newsletter, follow that person, join this group, watch this video, listen to this podcast, stay informed. The volume alone is exhausting. But volume isn’t the real problem.

Americas

An LP’s view of private markets

For a decade, my job was to lead large-scale private markets programs for two of the country’s largest public pensions — first at the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS), then for the State of New Jersey. Before that, I sat on the sell side, leading transactions that institutions like these eventually bought. I learned and did a lot during that time, with one key lesson as 2025 came around: Institutions such as pensions, endowments and sovereign funds have driven private markets for almost as long as private markets have been around, and the playbook we built was never really designed with anyone else in mind.

Americas

Looking beyond interest rates

Commercial real estate has spent much of the past several years at the center of investor discussions about interest rates and monetary policy. While interest rates and the direction of monetary policy are important across the investment universe, investors often place too much emphasis on their impact on commercial real estate and REITs.

Americas

Institutionalizing real estate

The checklist for identifying “institutional-quality” real estate once centered on large buildings in major gateway markets, recognizable tenants and a clear pool of potential buyers to provide exit liquidity. Think One Vanderbilt in New York City or Willis Tower in Chicago.

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Blurred lines

We are seeing a deep convergence between the real estate and infrastructure asset classes. This convergence is being driven by a number of factors, but it risks obscuring a clear view into the risks in investors’ portfolios. Even as the assets are becoming harder to classify, the risks associated with them are not necessarily becoming interchangeable.

Americas

Real estate struggling to get its footing

Since 2023, on the heels of the first interest rate increases in 15 years, real estate has struggled to get its footing. Sure, there have been success stories: Funds have been raised and transactions have still occurred, albeit both have been a tough slog. Average fundraising times are longer, and the bid-ask spread between buyers and sellers remains wide.

Americas

Power matters in underwriting

For institutional investors underwriting industrial and logistics real estate, power capacity is becoming a factor in asset quality alongside location, clear height and tenant credit. It is no longer a future consideration. We are seeing the impact now, across our own portfolio, driven simultaneously by AI, robotics, heavier machinery and electric vehicle charging.

Americas

Job-growth equation

For decades, commercial real estate forecasting began with a familiar question: How many jobs will this market create? The logic proved durable. More office-using jobs generally supported office absorption. More paychecks supported apartments and retail spending. More production and trade created demand for warehouses. Employment connected the economy to property demand through a channel that was intuitive, measurable and usually reliable.

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Back to basics

Private markets have expanded the ways institutions can own, finance and access real estate. They have also added layers of structures and reporting between investors and buildings. Has that made institutional real estate harder to understand? In some respects, yes. But the remedy is not to abandon sophisticated finance. It is to restore a disciplined sequence: Underwrite the property and its operating business, structure the capital around those risks, and then evaluate the investment vehicle.

Americas

Investing ahead of the recovery

San Francisco’s office market is beginning to draw investors back after several years of elevated vacancy, declining values and limited transaction activity.

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What customization actually means

Institutional real estate has evolved from a relatively narrow allocation, historically concentrated among large pension plans and a limited group of specialist managers, into a broadly established institutional asset class. The NCREIF Property Index was developed to provide a consistent measure of property-level investment performance. During the following decades, reporting conventions, governance practices and market infrastructure continued to develop. The index, which dates to 1978, helped establish historical measurement of property-level returns and support institutional understanding of commercial real estate as an asset class. Separately, the public REIT market, first created in 1960, expanded significantly in the early 1990s, with Nareit identifying the 1991 Kimco Realty IPO as the beginning of the modern REIT era.

Americas

An inflection point

The U.S. commercial real estate market is moving into a new phase, and global investors should take note. After several years of higher interest rates, reduced transaction volume, widening bid-ask spreads, refinancing pressure and uneven property performance, the market is shifting from broad repricing toward selective recovery. The key word is “selective.”

Americas

The housing story nobody’s telling about AI

Nearly half of U.S. renters already spend more than 30 percent of their income on housing. That is before AI begins to reshape the labor market. No one knows exactly how quickly AI adoption will affect employment. But investors do not have to predict the future perfectly. They only need to recognize where today’s trends are likely to intersect. If and when AI-driven income disruption unfolds at scale, housing will feel its effects before policymakers fully respond.

Americas

Senior housing occupancy clears 90% as new supply stalls

The first baby boomers turn 80 in 2026, the age our industry has long used to mark the front edge of senior housing demand. For most of the past decade that was a forecast, and investors could reasonably discount it. Not anymore. NIC MAP’s third-quarter 2026 data for the 31 primary markets show a sector already pressing against the limits of its existing supply, with two decades of growth in the 80-plus population still ahead of it.

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