Institutional Real Estate Europe

January 1, 2026: Vol. 20, Number 1

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From the Current Issue

Europe

Emerging from stagnation: Despite the turmoil of 2025, now could be the best time for investors to climb out from their bunkers and build resilient portfolios

The challenge for institutional property investors in 2026 will be to fashion portfolios or hedges to negotiate the year, while seizing opportunities that inevitably arise in any large-scale markets under moderate duress, say experts. And despite some misgivings, there are real estate veterans who contend the long mid-2020s grind in commercial property may be finally edging into its final rounds, offering selective opportunities.

Europe

Pressing the reset button: The UK life sciences market reinvents itself

Recent months have not been a smooth ride for the UK life sciences market. In September Merck, or MSD, as it is often referred to in Europe, abandoned plans for a £1 billion (€1.1 billion) research hub in London. The 195,000-square-foot (18,000-square-metre) Belgrove House project, already under construction, was meant to employ 800 people and showcase long-term investment in UK life sciences. Instead, MSD said it would discontinue discovery work in Britain, citing years of weak support for innovative medicines. During the same month, AstraZeneca also announced that it had paused a planned £200 million (€228 million) investment in Cambridge, blaming “increasingly challenging” conditions in the United Kingdom for drug development.

Europe

Capital gains: London build-to-rent is a golden opportunity amid a supply squeeze

London’s residential real estate market is at a crossroads. Housing starts in the capital are at their lowest level since 1981 amid higher viability hurdles, while demand for rental property is surging as inflation and higher borrowing costs are preventing would-be first-time buyers from stepping onto the property ladder. Meanwhile, tax and regulatory changes are pushing private landlords out of the sector. For institutional investors, this confluence of factors is creating a rare window of opportunity in the build-to-rent (BTR) sector.

Europe

Resilient income: Logistics real estate is an institutional hedge in an era of inflation and uncertainty

We are entering a phase where investors can no longer rely solely on capital appreciation or yield compression; growth must be created through repositioning, active asset management and countercyclical strategies. The logistics sector continues to present a compelling investment opportunity, supported by an exciting, evolving and expanding occupier base; constrained supply; and low obsolescence.

Europe

The money pump: A warning for institutional investors against return-chasing

Victor Haghani and James White’s essay “Extrapolators Beware the Money Pump,” published in their 2023 book The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions, offers a compelling thought experiment that should give institutional investors pause. In it, the authors describe a fictional investor, Mr X, who allocates capital based solely on past returns. Two savvy traders exploit his behaviour through subtle price movements. Over time, Mr X loses nearly all his wealth — not through recklessness but by consistently following his own flawed logic.

Europe

A sudden retail revival? The legal realities behind pop-up shops and short-term leasing in the United Kingdom

As the festive season approaches, Britain’s high streets acquire a familiar burst of energy. Empty storefronts that have stood idle for much of the year are swiftly transformed into temporary retail spaces — concept stores, seasonal brands or experimental outlets testing their appeal. These “pop-up” shops have evolved from a niche novelty into a mainstream feature of the retail landscape.

Europe

Prime and secondary office vacancy level gap grows again

The vacancy level gap between central and outlying office markets in Europe has grown again. BNP Paribas Real Estate says the average vacancy rate in European CBDs stood at 5.4 percent at the end of September 2025, up by 20 basis points during the third quarter of 2025 compared to the third quarter of 2024. In secondary markets, the gap is now at 10.9 percent, having grown by 80 basis points throughout the 12 months to September 2025. The overall average office vacancy rate in Europe stood at 9.3 percent.

Europe

Europe posts strongest retail rent growth as deals rise

Europe recorded the strongest retail rent growth across the globe for the third quarter of 2025. CBRE says strong competition for prime space across the region has pushed up rents and increased lease lengths. Europe’s rents increased by 3.8 percent year-over-year by the end of September 2025. Asia Pacific had the next highest increase at 1.4 percent, with Americas posting a 1.3 percent rise.

Europe

Commercial real estate finance becomes more widely available

Commercial real estate financing has become more accessible as debt funds increase their activity and more banks provide back leverage. In its 2026 European Annual Outlook paper, AEW has said increased competition among banks and non-bank lenders is improving non-financial borrowing terms. Euro zone borrowing costs remained favourable and accretive to equity investors at 3.9 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2025, compared with the average prime cross-sector euro zone property yield at 5.1 percent.

Europe

First European living fund index launched by INREV

INREV has launched a European living sector fund index, in response to the continual growth of investor exposure to residential real estate. The Living Fund index, which is the first of its kind, draws on 25 years of performance data from European residential and student housing funds. It covers a broad range of 12 living subindices, including residential, student housing, closed-end and open-end, as well as single country and a pan-European series.

Europe

Core issues: Opening up a once-in-a-cycle opportunity in UK living

In some real estate sectors, there is both proof of inflation linkage and a deep-seated structural undersupply, despite there being substantial demand. This is especially the case in the UK living sectors, where a lack of development activity is leading to even lower levels of much-needed new supply. This means that rents will continue to grow, and we anticipate that once gilt yields reduce and capital values start to increase, the cycle will turn, and real estate will once again attract greater investment.

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