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U.S. inbound travel headwinds hold steady, international arrivals decline
Research - MAY 27, 2025

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U.S. inbound travel headwinds hold steady, international arrivals decline

by Released

Inbound travel to the United States remains under pressure. Sentiment-related headwinds persist, leading to a forecasted 8.7 percent decline in international arrivals this year, according to Oxford Economics and Tourism Economics.

Their latest outlook reflects only a modest revision from the 9.4 percent decline forecasted in March — resulting from recent data releases and a slightly weaker dollar.

Findings underscore that travelers make decisions not only about where and when to travel, but also when to book and how long to stay — choices influenced by perceptions of a destination.

Several factors continue to erode international travel sentiment toward the United States, including political posturing and policy announcements under the Trump administration, such as proposed “Liberation Day” tariffs targeting long-standing trade partners. Additionally, the media coverage surrounding border security incidents and the issuance of national travel advisories c

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