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Research - MARCH 7, 2019

Asian outbound investment declines, investors rebalance

by Andrea Zander

Asian outbound real estate investment noticeably moderated for the full year 2018, driven primarily by a reallocation of portfolios by Chinese investors, according to CBRE.

Throughout 2018, a total of $53.8 billion in capital from Asia was allocated into offshore real estate by investors, a decline of 36 percent year-on-year.

In 2018, Chinese investors rebalanced real estate portfolios, becoming net sellers of real estate in the second half of the year, contributing to the decline. Chinese investors deployed $7.5 billion in capital into offshore real estate investments in 2018 versus $35.4 billion in 2017.

According to CBRE’s 2018 Outbound Investment Survey, coupled with a decline in offshore investment, Chinese investors transitioned to net sellers to strengthen balance sheets and recycle capital for deployment into future outbound investments.

“The Asian outbound investment story in 2018 was on one hand characterized by a clear moderation from China, but on the other hand represented cyclical portfolio rebalancing and strategically preparation for future activity. The pullback from China’s investors was not entirely unexpected but encouragingly created opportunities for new strategic investors to amplify offshore investment activities,” said Leo Chung, associate director, research, Asia Pacific CBRE.

Throughout 2018, Singaporean and Korean investors solidified their positions as more visible offshore real estate investors. Singapore-based investors deployed a total of $21.6 billion in 2018 against $20.9 billion in 2017. Korean investors allocated $7.3 billion in capital last year versus $6.3 billion in 2017. Investors from Malaysia and India also became more prominent in 2018, selectively investing more capital overseas, up 132 percent and 291 percent, respectively.

Geographically, allocations remained consistent year-on-year, in terms of percentage of annual capital deployed. EMEA remained the leading destination for Asian outbound capital in 2018. The region attracted $21.5 billion in total capital from Asian investors in 2018. Intra-Asian investments finished 2018 at $17 billion, followed by the Americas at $11.6 billion and Pacific at $3.7 billion.

London remained the top destination for Asian capital, owing to strong fundamentals and its established standing as the preferred metropolitan area for first-time buyers to invest. Investors from Hong Kong, Singapore and Korea were the major buyers, accounting for over 85 percent of the investment activities. In 2018, 18 percent of total Asian outbound capital was deployed to London, up from 13 percent in 2017. The appetite for gateway cities was also reflected in Hong Kong (9 percent), Shanghai (9 percent) and Frankfurt (4 percent), growing or maintaining their percentage of total investment deployed for 2018.

“Asia-based investors remain hungry for offshore acquisitions, but will employ a more selective strategy in their overseas purchase activities. The hedging costs into certain countries are also impacting investment flows for many outbound Asian investors,” said Tom Moffat, head of capital markets, Asia, CBRE.

 

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