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- July 1, 2017: Vol. 29, Number 7

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Upswing with uncertainty: U2’s landmark ‘The Joshua Tree’ album has much to teach us about diversification

by Timothy Bellman

1 As Irish rock band U2 begins a new world tour to celebrate the 30th anniversary of the 1987 release of its landmark The Joshua Tree album, it is interesting to reflect on current market conditions and on how real estate markets have evolved over the past three decades. A U2-based theme of “upswing with uncertainty” seems remarkably timely in the world of real estate. The possibility a synchronized global economic upswing may be emerging in the near term should help support real estate fundamentals. But that upswing is accompanied by considerable economic-policy, political and geopolitical uncertainty. Consequently, the plausible range of possible outcomes is uncomfortably wide. What does it mean for real estate? Conditions of “upswing with uncertainty” place emphasis on identifying investment strategy and execution ideas that seek to take advantage of real estate’s income and growth potential under a reasoned base-case “upswing outlook.

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