The U.S. housing shortage, already a critical concern, is expected to worsen over the next two to three years due to a persistent imbalance between supply and demographically driven demand. The roots of this shortage trace back to the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, which severely disrupted homebuilding activity. Despite periods of recovery, construction has largely failed to keep pace with household formation and population growth, creating a long-standing deficit that cannot be quickly reversed.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, developers responded to robust demand by accelerating construction in a few high-growth markets such as Austin, Phoenix and parts of Florida. However, much of this new housing was concentrated in the high-end segment, targeting affluent, remote-working individuals who relocated during the pandemic with their higher incomes. This supply did relatively little to alleviate broader affordability issues, as construction of affordable and mid-tier hou