Publications

- March 1, 2017: Vol. 9, Number 3

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Decisive action: Fiscal stimulus and rising interest rates will affect property investors

by Benjamin Cole

The US election of President Donald Trump provoked a “Trump Rally” in equities, on the outlook that Republican and real estate developer Trump will bring more fiscal stimulus and a pro-business agenda to the White House, with a Republican-led US Congress that will implement much of his plans.

But while Wall Street rallied, outside the limelight many property stocks in the Far East were wavering, or declining.

Even as they watch Trump, global property investors are keeping a close eye on the world’s major central banks and interest rates, and especially the US Federal Reserve, which in December 2016 raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.25 percent and publicly posited three interest-rate hikes through 2017. The Fed maintained the target range in its January meeting.

Not only can higher interest rates cramp property markets directly, but global flows of “hot money” — untold trillions of dollars restlessly traversing the globe in searc

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