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Fossil fuels vs. renewables: Federal energy policy creating distress
- September 1, 2026: Vol. 13, Number 8

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Fossil fuels vs. renewables: Federal energy policy creating distress

by Michael Underhill

The explosive growth of artificial intelligence and data centers is driving U.S. electricity demand to record levels. At the same time, federal energy policy is increasingly favoring coal and natural gas over renewable energy.

The collision of those two trends is creating an unexpected opportunity for distressed investors.

A new analysis from Energy Innovation argues that U.S. utility customers could save roughly $5 billion annually by 2030 if rising electricity demand were met with solar, wind and battery storage instead of fossil fuels. Yet current federal policy is steering the market in the opposite direction by slowing renewable development while extending the life of aging coal- and gas-fired power plants.

For distressed investors, that disconnect represents more than a political debate. It is a market dislocation.

Energy Innovation modeled two scenarios for meeting electricity demand expected to rise roughly 21 percent by 2030, fueled largely by AI

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