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Real estate positioned for rebound in 2026 — Morgan Stanley
Research - DECEMBER 23, 2025

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Real estate positioned for rebound in 2026 — Morgan Stanley

by Elise Mackanych

Supported by motivated sellers, engaged buyers and greater availability of debt, the real estate sector is positioned for a strong rebound in 2026, according to Morgan Stanley’s Real Estate 2026 Outlook. The sector is expected to shift its focus from macro risks to more asset-level and sector-specific real estate investing opportunities.

The slowdown in new construction and the increasing gap between replacement costs and current valuations point to an extended and durable upcoming real estate cycle, due to the muted supply response.

To navigate the upcoming year, Morgan Stanley is focusing on active asset management and operational improvements that will deliver stronger returns. By capitalizing on housing undersupply and demographic shifts in sectors with clear demand-supply imbalances, the firm aims to generate revenue in sectors supported by strong structural trends and actively managed assets.

Senior-living, multifamily and industrial sectors are

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