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Timing is everything: Speed-to-power and the changing shape of development capital
- April 1, 2026: Vol. 19, Number 4

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Timing is everything: Speed-to-power and the changing shape of development capital

by Pragyan Pradhan

Institutional investment in power infrastructure is entering a different chapter. The artificial intelligence (AI) demand era is driving a structural shift in where risk sits, when capital is deployed and how returns are generated in the power development space.

For decades, underwriting frameworks evolved around a well-defined mix of considerations: technology choice, regulatory durability, ESG (environmental, social and governance) positioning, market design, counterparty strength, capital structure resilience and cash flow visibility. Some investors preferred long-term contracted assets with defined downside protection, while others accepted measured merchant exposure in exchange for higher return potential. Across strategies, the discipline was consistent: risk-adjusted returns anchored in structural clarity.

But the challenge of demand growth is driving a regime shift. Power infrastructure investing is expanding from a primary focus on cash flow de-risking to unde

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