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European hydropower in the age of climate change: Why changing rainfall patterns increase the value of local expertise, active asset management and diversified portfolios
- September 1, 2026: Vol. 19, Number 8

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European hydropower in the age of climate change: Why changing rainfall patterns increase the value of local expertise, active asset management and diversified portfolios

by Andreas Grassl

Hydropower has supplied electricity in Europe for more than a century. Its core technology is mature; many plants have been operating for decades, and established sites can remain productive far longer than most other renewable-energy assets. Climate change does not invalidate this investment case, but it changes the way hydropower plants must be assessed and managed.

The most common concern is straightforward: What happens if rivers carry less water? For parts of Southern Europe, this is a material risk. Yet Europe does not face a uniform decline in rainfall. Climate projections point to seasonal shifts, greater variability and more frequent extreme events. Some catchments may receive similar or higher levels of annual precipitation, while summers become drier and rainfall is increasingly concentrated in autumn and winter.

Operators must prepare for longer low-flow periods, sudden floods, higher sediment loads and rapid changes in water levels. Investment decisions ba

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